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There is a very large amount of stock market research conducted by
stock market analysts, traders and other participants in the Australian
stock market.
All of the major stock broking firms conduct research as a major part of their operations and provide advice to their clients.
In
recent times there has been a bigger push towards stock market research
being conducted by private individuals. This has been made possible
through the vast amount of information on the Australian stock market,
now available on-line to anyone who subscribes.
There is also
a number of stock market research tools available to the public, such
as charting software, training and a number of different research
techniques, books and service providers.
The two main types of stock market research are:
- Fundamental Analysis
- Technical Analysis
Fundamental analysis involves the use of financial
and economic data to evaluate the liquidity, solvency, efficiency and,
most importantly, the earnings potential of a given company.
The
fundamental analysis kitbag of tools includes the corporate annual
report and its financial statements, legal comments by corporate
officers, industry statistics and market trends, as well as
macro-economic data.
With this information in hand, the
fundamental analyst's goal is to ferret out undervalued stocks, and
then buy them in anticipation of the appreciation that should occur,
when this value comes to light.
Technical Analysis
- A stock market researcher using technical analysis doesn't look at
income statements, balance sheets, company policies, or anything
fundamental about the company. Technical analysis looks at the actual
history of trading and the price of a security or index. This is
usually done in the form of a chart. The financial product can be a
stock, future or an index.
The technical analyst believes that
stock market research will show that securities move in trends. And
these trends continue until something happens to change the trend. With
trends, patterns and levels are detectable. Sometimes the analysis is
wrong. However, in the overwhelming majority of instances, it's
extremely accurate.
Technical analysis is stock market research of
price action over time and charts are what an analyst works with as
their primary record of price action. Behind every price is an investor
who had a reason for buying or selling. Traders generally act alone but
often their weight of numbers has a direct influence on short term
prices.
Researching the stock market with charts and technical
indicators is the study of group behaviour and sentiment. It is done
with science and art. We use science because we use mathematical
formula, computers and statistics
Charting is the study of
price action of a market itself as opposed to the study of the goods in
which a market deals. Technical analysis is simply a different means of
using stock market research to arrive at the same investment
objectives. These goals may be summarised as:
- To gauge the relative strength of buyers and sellers;
- To identify preferred times to buy and sell;
- To develop a theory as to how far price may reasonably be expected to move; and
- To formulate a risk strategy.
Technical Analysis Stock Market Research Principles
The analyst attempts to use market history for its predictive
value to control positions and to anticipate probable price movements
in the future.
Three basic premises serve as the basis of analysis:
- First, market prices follow trends. That is, the flow of prices is not merely a series of random events.
- Secondly, as a random group, participants in the marketplace have responded one specific way at a given price.
- The third principle also relates to the past. History does repeat itself, and it does so often.
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